Ugo Humbert vs Arthur Fils – Breakdown and Prediction

October 1, 2024

Ugo Humbert vs Arthur Fils: ATP Tokyo – Final

Two Frenchman Ugo Humbert and Arthur Fils will face each other in the final of the ATP Tokyo.

Ugo Humbert Profile

Ugo Humbert is currently 18th in the ATP rankings while his career high was No. 13 in the world. The Frenchman is 32-20 for the season and 17-7 on hard surface.

Humbert is coming off a 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 win over Tomas Machac in the semifinal. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Jack Draper, Brandon Nakashima and Shintaro Mochizuki.

Humbert won the titles in Dubai and Marseille earlier this season.

This is his first appearance in Tokyo.

Arthur Fils Profile

Arthur Fils is 24th in the ATP rankings, four spots lower than his career high. The Frenchman is 35-23 for the season and 14-8 on hard surface.

Fils is coming off a 7-6, 7-6 win over Holger Rune in the semifinal. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Ben Shelton, Matteo Berrettini and Taylor Fritz.

Earlier this season, Fils won the ATP title in Hamburg and the Challenger in Bordeaux.

This is his second appearance in Tokyo after losing in the third round last year.

Head-to-Head Humbert leads 4-0

Humbert vs Fils 6-2, 6-2 (2024 ATP Montreal, first round)
Humbert vs Fils 6-3, 7-6 (2024 ATP Hertogenbosch, round of 16)
Humbert vs Fils 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 (2023 ATP Cincinnati, first round)
Humbert vs Fils 6-2, 6-4 (2023 Bordeaux Challenger, first round)

Prediction and Conclusion

Both players from France have a solid week in Tokyo and a chance to add another title this season. They know each other pretty well since they have played four times before and also represented France in doubles at the Paris Olympics. Humbert is the more experienced player and won all the previous matches against Fils. The younger Fils had an impressive match, surviving two tiebreaks in the semifinals, and will have to dig deep to win his countryman. Humbert is still the better player and will win the title today.