Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox – Breakdown and Prediction

June 26, 2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox: An AL East battle

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox will close out their series today at Fenway Park.

The Blue Jays can finally breathe

The Toronto Blue Jays are at the bottom of the AL East with a 36-43 record, including 18-24 on the road. They have won three of their last five games and are coming off back-to-back wins against the Cleveland Guardians. After losing seven consecutive games, the Blue Jays ended the losing streak with a 9-4 win last night. The Blue Jays have a 4.20 ERA, a .248 batting average, a .313 on-base percentage, and 1.28 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with 88 hits, while Daulton Varsho is on top with 40 runs and 11 home runs.

The Red Sox have picked up their game

The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 43-37 record but only 19-21 at home. They have won 8 of the last 10 games. Boston has a 3.55 ERA, a .232 batting average, a .294 on-base percentage, and 1.18 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jarren Duran is the best player on the team 96 hits, 55 runs, and 5 home runs. Rafael Devers leads the team with 16 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Red Sox are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games overall, 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AL and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AL East. Boston has played over the total run line in 7 of their last 10 games overall, 6 of their last 7 home games, 4 of their last 5 games against Toronto, and 8 of their last 10 home games against Toronto. The Blue Jays are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games overall, 1-5 SU in their last 6 visits to Boston and 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the AL. Toronto has played over the total run line in 6 of their last 9 games overall and 5 of their last 6 games against teams from the AL East.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both AL East rivals are far from the top of the division standings, and the Blue Jays are already in a deep hole that will be hard to get out of. They ended their seven-game losing streak yesterday with a 9-4 win over the Red Sox and will go with less pressure in this one. Toronto will start Yariel Rodriguez today, who is 0-2 for the season with a 5.94 ERA, 17 K, 16.2 IP, and 1.92 WHIP. The Red Sox will have Kutter Crawford, who is 3-7 for the season, with a 3.59 ERA, 95 K, 92.2 IP, and 1.14 WHIP. Both teams are not going with their best pitchers tonight. The Red Sox swept the Blue Jays last week in Toronto and will bounce back today after losing last night.