Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles – Breakdown and Prediction

July 30, 2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles: A AL East matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays are visiting the Baltimore Orioles today at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Can the Blue Jays save the season?

The Toronto Blue Jays are at the bottom of the AL East with a 50-57 record, including 24-29 on the road. They have won 4 of the last 5 games including a 8-4 win last night in Baltimore. The Blue Jays have a 4.57 ERA, a .248 batting average, a .319 on-base percentage, and 1.32 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with 128 hits, 61 runs and 21 home runs.

The Orioles look like serious contenders

The Baltimore Orioles are on top of the AL East with a 63-44 record and 32-25 at home. They have lost 3 of the last 5 games. The Orioles have a 3.80 ERA, a .231 batting average, a .299 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with 118 hits, 84 runs and 28 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Orioles are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games overall, 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AL and 8-4 AU in their last 12 games against teams from the AL East. Baltimore has played over the total run line in their last 8 games overall, in 5 of their last 6 games against Toronto and in their last 6 home games, while they have stayed under in 6 of their last 9 home games against Toronto. The Blue Jays are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 7-13 in their last 20 games against the Orioles, 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AL and 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AL East. Toronto has played over the total run line in their last 7 games overall and in their last 5 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Orioles and the Blue Jays played two games yesterday with both teams winning one of those. The Orioles are still holding to the top of the AL East but will definitely need to pick up their form in order to stay there. Baltimore will go with Corbin Burnes on the mound tonight who is 10-4 for the season, with a 2.45 ERA, 121 K, 132 IP and 1.04 WHIP. The Blue Jays will try to match that up with Chris Bassitt who is 8-9 for the season, with a 3.78 ERA, 112 K, 119 IP and 1.41 WHIP. Both pitchers have played a lot this season and have over 100 strikeouts. Still, Burnes is much better just as the entire Orioles team, so we go with the win staying in Baltimore tonight.