Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Breakdown and Prediction

July 14, 2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Can the Diamondbacks sweep the series?

The Arizona Diamondbacks are looking to sweep the series against the Toronto Blue Jays today at Rogers Park.

The Blue Jays have a disappointing season

The Toronto Blue Jays are at the bottom of the AL East with a 43-52 record, including 22-28 on the road. After winning back-to-back games against the San Francisco Giants, the Blue Jays lost the first two in the series against the Diamondbacks. The Blue Jays have a 4.34 ERA, a .248 batting average, a .316 on-base percentage, and 1.30 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with 104 hits, 45 runs and 13 home runs.

The Diamondbacks have a promising season

The Arizona Diamondbacks are second in the NL West with a 49-47 record and 26-23 at home. They have won the last four games, tying their longest winning streak of the season. Arizona has a 4.59 ERA, a .259 batting average, a .322 on-base percentage, and 1.34 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Ketel Marte is the best player on the team, with 102 hits, 63 runs, and 19 home runs so far in the season.

Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 8-4 SU in their last 12 games against teams from the AL and 6-13 SU in their last 19 games against teams from the AL East. Arizona has played over the total run line in 10 of their last 12 games overall, 6 of their last 9 games against Toronto, 4 of their last 5 games at home and 8 of their last 11 home games against Toronto. The Blue Jays are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL and 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the NL West. Toronto has played over the total run line in 6 of their last 7 games overall and in 9 of their last 11 games.

Prediction and Conclusion

This is only the second series between the Blue Jays and the Diamondbacks in the last five years. Toronto swept the series last season, but Arizona won the first two of this series, 5-4 and 12-1, last night. Arizona has had an excellent season, being right behind the Dodgers in the NL West standings. The Diamondbacks will try to sweep the series with Zac Gallen, who is 6-5 for the season with a 3.33 ERA, 75 K, 73 IP, and 1.14 WHIP. The Blue Jays will start Yusei Kikuchi, who is 4-8 for the season with a 4.00 ERA, 111 K, 101.1 IP, and 1.27 WHIP. The Diamondbacks are the favorites in this one given what we saw so far in the series, but the Blue Jays will stand a chance in this one and will cover the +1.5-run spread.