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Steelers vs Bills: AFC Wild Card Playoffs

The Buffalo Bills will host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday in the AFC Wild Card Playoffs at Highmark Stadium.

How did the Steelers get here?

The Pittsburgh Steelers won the last three regular season games to book the last AFC playoff spot. They finished the regular season with a 10-7 record, finishing third in the AFC North. Mason Rudolph was given the starting QB position, and he led the team to wins over Cincinnati, Seattle, and Baltimore. Rudolph finished the season with 719 yards and three TDs, but every single one of them made a difference for the team. Pittsburgh is ranked sixth in the league, allowing 19.1 points per game, and is ranked 28th, scoring 17.9 points per game.

The Bills can be dangerous

The Buffalo Bills finished on top of the AFC East with an 11-6 record. Just like the Steelers, they turned the season around by winning the last five games and are coming off a 21-14 road win over Miami. Josh Allen had an impressive season, finishing fourth with 4,306 yards and also having 29 TDs, tied for fifth in the NFL. The Bills are fourth in the league with 374.5 yards per game and are sixth, scoring 26.5 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked ninth, allowing 307.2 yards per game.

Betting Trends

Buffalo is 7-10-0 ATS for the season, 4-4-0 ATS at home, and 6-8-0 ATS as favorite. Pittsburgh is 10-7-0 ATS for the season, 5-3-0 ATS on the road, and 6-4-0 ATS as an underdog.

Prediction and Conclusion

Just a month ago, the postseason looked unreachable for both teams, but with strong finishes, here they are. The Bills are 7-2 at home and have been playing very well, winning the last five games. The Steelers are also in great form but are a 10-point underdog in this game. Josh Allen gives the Bills a huge advantage over Mason Rudolph, who lacks experience and has only three starts. What hurts the Steelers is TJ Watt’s injury, who could have been a huge asset in their defense. Without him, the Steelers will have trouble slowing down the Bills offense, and Buffalo will win this one by covering the spread.

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