Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox – Breakdown and Prediction

July 31, 2024

Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox: Both teams have a promising season

The Seattle Mariners are visiting the Boston Red Sox tonight at Fenway Park.

The Mariners are in great form

The Seattle Mariners are second in the AL West with a 57-52 record, including 31-23 at home. They have won 4 of the last 5 games including a 10-6 win over the Red Sox last night. The Mariners have a 3.44 ERA, a .218 batting average, a .276 on-base percentage, and 1.08 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Julio Rodriguez leads the team with 101 hits and 45 runs while Cal Raleigh is on top with 23 home runs.

The Red Sox are struggling since the All-Star break

The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 56-50 record including 26-28 at home. They have 3 of their last 10 games. Boston has a 3.95 ERA, a .242 batting average, a .304 on-base percentage, and 1.24 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jarren Duran is the best player on the team 130 hits, 76 runs while Rafael Devers leads the team with 24 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Red Sox are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games overall, 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against teams from the AL and 11-4 SU in their last 15 games against teams from the AL West. Boston has played over the total run line in their last 6 games overall, in their last 5 home games, in their last 9 home games against Seattle and in 15 of their last 20 games against Seattle. The Mariners are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against the Red Sox, 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AL and 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against teams from the AL East. Seattle has played over the total run line in their last 5 games overall and in 5 of their last 6 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

This has been an interesting series so far, with both teams winning a game and scoring a lot. The Red Sox opened the series with a 14-7 win, and then the Mariners responded with a 10-6 win. Both teams will have some of their best pitchers on the mound today. The Red Sox will start Brayan Bello, who is 10-5 for the season with a 5.27 ERA, 96 K, 100.2 IP, and 1.44 WHIP. The Mariners will have George Kirby, who is 8-7 for the season with a 3.03 ERA, 129 K, 130.2 IP, and 0.98 WHIP. The last nine games between the two played at Fenway have gone over, so we are going with the same pick tonight with the total run line being at 9.5.