David Frerker-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA
San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners: Both teams have split the last ten games
The San Diego Padres are visiting the Seattle Mariners tonight at T-Mobile Park.
Will the Padres hold on?
The San Diego Padres are second in the NL West with a 81-64 record including 41-29 on the road and are 5.5 games behind the leading Los Angeles Dodgers. San Diego has lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming off a 7-5 loss to the San Francisco Giants. The Padres have a 4.02 ERA, a .240 batting average, a .306 on-base percentage, and 1.24 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jackson Merill leads the team with 144 hits, Jurickson Profar is on top with 81 runs, while Manny Machado has 25 home runs.
Can the Mariners save the season?
The Seattle Mariners are second in the AL West with a 73-71 record, including 41-28 at home. They have won 4 of the last 5 games and are coming off a 10-4 win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Mariners have a 3.51 ERA, a .219 batting average, a .276 on-base percentage, and 1.08 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Julio Rodriguez leads the team with 127 hits, while Cal Raleigh is on top with 63 runs and 29 home runs.
Betting Trends
The Mariners are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 8-2 SU in their last 10 home games and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL. Seattle has played under the total run line in 6 of their last 8 games against San Diego and in 7 of their last 8 home games against them. The Padres are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Seattle, 13-7 SU in their last 20 games on the road and 15-5 SU in their last 20 games played in September. San Diego has played over the total run line in 9 of their last 12 games against teams from the AL.
Prediction and Conclusion
We can clearly state that the Mariners are out of the crisis they found themselves in, but the playoffs are still miles away. Seattle has only 8.4% of getting there, while the Padres are in a much better situation with 92.6%. Seattle will try to win this one with George Kirby on the mound, who is 11-10 for the season with a 3.61 ERA, 162 K, 167 IP, and 1.11 WHIP. The Padres will go with veteran Yu Darvish, who is 4-3 for the season with a 3.51 ERA, 57 K, 59 IP, and 1.12 WHIP. Both pitchers are pretty reliable all season long, and knowing that 7 of the last 8 games between these two teams played in Seattle ended under the total run line, we go with under 7.5 for this one.
