San Diego Padres vs New York Mets – Breakdown and Prediction

June 16, 2024

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets: The Mets are looking for their fifth straight win

The New York Mets are hosting the San Diego Padres on Sunday at Citi Field.

The Padres are on an East Coast road trip

The San Diego Padres are second in the NL West with a 37-37 record, sitting 7 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. After sweeping the series against the Oakland Atheltics, they lost the first two games against the Mets. The Padres have a 3.88 ERA, a .234 batting average, a .301 on-base percentage, and 1.22 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the best player on the team with 80 hits, 48 runs and 13 home runs.

The Mets have won the last four games

The New York Mets are fourth in the NL East with a 32-37 record. After winning the last two games of the series against the Miami Marlins, they won the first two against the Padres. The Mets have a 4.16 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .322 on-base percentage, and 1.32 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 54 hits and 41 runs while Pete Alonso is on top with 14 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games overall, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the NL, and 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the NL West. New York has played under the total run line in 6 of their last 7 games overall, 7 of the last 9 games against the Padres, 5 of the last 6 home games, and the last 6 home games against San Diego. The Padres are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the NL and 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL East. They have played under the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall and the last 6 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Mets were excellent in the first two games against the Padres, winning both of them and allowing a total of two runs. Still, they have a lot of catching up to do since they are five games under the 500 percent mark. The Mets will try to sweep the series today with Tylor Megill on the mound. He is 1-3 for the season with a 3.51 ERA, 32 K, 25.2 IP, and 1.29 WHIP. The Padres will try to end their losing streak with Dylan Cease, who has been very active this year. The 28-year-old is 6-5 for the season, with a 3.36 ERA, 101 K, 83 IP, and 1 WHIP. He has been one of the top-two pitchers for the Padres this season, and he can deliver when the team needs him. Therefore, we go with the Padres to win this one in New York.