San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Breakdown and Prediction

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images/Sipa USA

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks: A NL West matchup

The San Diego Padres are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks today at Chase Field.

 

The Padres have clinched the playoffs

The San Diego Padres are second in the NL West with a 91-68 record including 46-32 on the road. After winning five consecutive games and clinching the playoffs, they lost the last two against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres have a 3.83 ERA, a .235 batting average, a .302 on-base percentage, and 1.22 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Manny Machado leads the team with 162 hits and 29 home runs while Jurickson Profar is on top with 92 runs.

 

The season is on the line for the Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks are third in the NL West with an 88-71 record, including 43-35 at home. After losing three consecutive games, they won 8-2 against the San Francisco Giants in the last one. Arizona has a 4.65 ERA, a .260 batting average, a .324 on-base percentage, and 1.36 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Ketel Marte is the best player on the team, with 145 hits, 91 runs, and 35 home runs so far in the season.

 

Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against the Padres and 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the NL West. Arizona has played over the total run line in 4 of their last 6 games overall, their last 6 games against the Padres and 4 of their last 5 home games. The Padres are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games overall, 9-4 SU in their last 13 visits to Arizona and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL West. San Diego has played under the total run line in 8 of their last 10 games overall, 4 of their last 6 games on the road and 4 of their last 6 games against teams from the NL.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The San Diego Padres already clinched the playoffs, and the Arizona Diamondbacks hope to do the same this weekend. They have a 60.7% chance to get there, and everything depends on the series against the Padres. The Diamondbacks will go with Merrill Kelly on the mound, who is 5-0 for the season with a 3.71 ERA, 55 K, 68 IP, and 1.13 WHIP. The Padres will also start one of their best pitchers tonight, as Yu Darvish is 6-3 for the season with a 3.18 ERA, 74 K, 76.1 IP, and 1.06 WHIP. Given the current circumstances, the Diamondbacks will go all-in in this game, so we go with them to win tonight.

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