Roberto Carballes Baena vs Matteo Berrettini – Breakdown and Prediction

April 7, 2024

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Matteo Berrettini: ATP Marrakech – final

The former Wimbledon finalist Matteo Berrettini will look to get back in the top 100 in the ATP Marrakech final against the defending champion Roberto Carballes Baena.

Roberto Carballes Baena Profile

Roberto Carballes Baena is 64th in the ATP rankings, and his career high was No. 49 in the world. The Spaniard is 9-9 for the season and 5-4 on clay courts.

Carballes Baena is coming off a 6-4, 6-2 win against Pavel Kotov in the semifinal. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Nicolas Moreno de Alboran, Daniel Evans, and Matteo Gigante.

This is the second time this season that Carballes Baena has won more than two matches in the same tournament. In the opening week, he made it to the quarterfinals in Auckland.

Last year in Marrakech, Carballes Baena won his second career ATP title after winning in Quite in 2018.

Matteo Berrettini Profile

Former World No. 6, Matteo Berrettini, is currently 135th in the ATP rankings. The Italians are 8-2 for the season and 4-0 on clay courts.

Berrettini is coming off a 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 semifinal win over Mariano Navone. Previously, he defeated Lorenzo Sonego, Jaume Munar, and Alexander Shevchenko.

This is only the third tournament of the season for Berrettini. He lost in the opening round in Miami to Andy Murray and made it to the final at the Phoenix Challenger, where he lost to Nuno Borges.

Berrettini has won a total of seven titles in his career and is looking for the first one since 2022, when he won in Stuttgart and the Queen’s Club.

Head-to-Head Berrettini leads 2-1

Berrettini vs Carballes Baena 6-4, 6-2 (2022 Napoli Challenger, round of 16)
Carballes Baena vs Berrettini 5-7, 7-6, 7-5 (2022 Florence Challenger, round of 16)
Berrettini vs Carballes Baena 6-1, 6-2 (2019 ATP Sainkt Petersburg, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

This will be a final match between two players with completely different styles of play. Carballes Baena prefers playing on clay since he is quick and can run all over the place, while Berrettini has had his best results on grass as he has excellent serves and plays short points. Carballes Baena has the advantage with the surface and the fact that he won this tournament last year, but there is no doubt that Berrettini is a much better player overall. Not that long ago, the Italian was in the top 10 and close to winning a Grand Slam, but the injuries took a toll on his result. Berrettini looks like he is getting closer to his recognizable form, and his quality will win him the trophy in Marrakech.