Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves – Breakdown and Prediction

June 28, 2024

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves: Both teams are coming with a different vibe

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves are starting a three-game series tonight at Truist Park.

The Pirates are in solid form

The Pittsburgh Pirates are third in the NL Central with a 39-41 record including 20-21 on the road. They have won 3 of the last 5 games and are coming off back-to-back wins over the Cincinnati Reds. The Pirates have a 4.02 ERA, a .243 batting average, a .312 on-base percentage, and 1.27 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryan Reynolds leads the team with 90 hits and 13 home runs while Andrew McCutchen is on top with 42 runs.

The Braves are back home

The Atlanta Braves are second in the NL East with a 44-35 record including 24-13 at home. They are coming off back-to-back losses against the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago White Sox. The Braves have a 3.56 ERA, a .234 batting average, a .304 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Marcell Ozuna is the best player on the team, with 89 hits, 46 runs, and 21 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Braves are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games overall, 6-1 SU in their last 7 home games and 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games against Pittsburgh. They have played under the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, 9 of their last 13 games against teams from the NL Central and 7 of their last 10 games played in June while have gone over in 9 of their last 11 games against Pittsburgh. The Pirates are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games against the Braves and 4-2 SU in their last 6 games played on Friday. They have played under the total run line in 6 of their last 9 games on the road and in 9 of their last 12 games against teams from the NL.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams have a solid season, with the top of their divisions within reach. The Braves have been very good at home, and they will play the next three series in Atlanta after an eight-game road trip. They will start with veteran Charlie Morton tonight, who is 4-4 for the season with a 4.20 ERA, 80 K, 79.1 IP, and 1.30 WHIP. The Pirates, on the other side, will be with Martin Perez, who is 1-3 for the season with a 4.71 ERA, 46 K, 57.1 IP, and 1.55 WHIP. That is not the pitcher the Pirates can win with in Atlanta. This is an important game for the Braves, who will end the losing streak and start the home stretch with a win.