Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics – Breakdown and Prediction

July 16, 2024

Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics: Both teams are coming off a loss

The Washington Mystics are hosting the Phoenix Mercury on Tuesday at Entertainment and Sports Arena.

The Mercury are at .500

The Phoenix Mercury are fourth in the Western Conference with a 12-12 record, including 4-8 on the road. After winning three consecutive games, the Mercury lost 95-86 to the Indiana Fever and 96-69 to the Connecticut Sun in the last one. Phoenix is ranked fourth in the league, averaging 83.2 points per game on shooting 33.3% from three-point territory and 43.2% from the field. Kahleah Copper leads the team, averaging 23.3 points, and Brittney Griner adds 18.3.

The Mystics are the worst home team in the league

The Washington Mystics are at the bottom of the Eastern Conference with a 6-18 record, including 3-8 at home. They have lost 3 of the last 4 games and are coming off a 89-77 loss to the Las Vegas Aces. They are ninth in the league averaging 79 points per game and shooting 42.9% from the field. Ariel Atkins leads the team with 15.9 points per game.

Betting Trends

The Mercury is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss, 13-27 in their last 40 games on the road and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Phoenix has played over the total point line in 5 of their last 6 games playing after one day rest and in 4 of their last 5 games overall. The Mystics are 8-0 ATS following a loss, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 6-1 ATS following a loss, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams from the Western Conference and 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on Tuesday. Washington has played under the total point line in their last 4 games played on Tuesday and in 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the Western Conference.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Phoenix Mercury had a solid run to start the month of July and are four-point favorites going into this one. The Mystics are at the bottom of the conference and have won only 3 of 11 home games this season. Washington has won three of the last five games against Phoenix, including the last three at home. The Mercury barely won 83-80 in the first game between the two in Phoenix, so we go with the Mystics to cover the +4-point spread.