Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx – Breakdown and Prediction

June 22, 2024

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx: Both teams are on a winning streak

The Minnesota Lynx will be looking for their sixth consecutive win when they host the Phoenix Mercury at Target Center on Saturday.

The Mercury have split the last ten games

The Phoenix Mercury are fourth in the Western Conference with an 8-7 record, including 2-5 on the road. They have won the last two games and are coming off a 99-93 win over the New York Liberty. Phoenix is ranked fourth in the league, averaging 83.3 points per game on shooting 34.3% from three-point territory and 80.9% from the free throw line. Kahleah Copper leads the team, averaging 23.5 points, and Brittney Griner adds 21.4.

The Lynx have won the last five games

The Minnesota Lynx are on top of the Western Conference with a 12-3 record, including an 8-1 record at home. They have won the last five games and are coming off a 68-55 win over the Atlanta Dream. The Lynx are the best shooting team in the league with 45.5% from the field and 40% from three-point territory while they are ranked third in the league scoring 85.3 points per game. Napheesa Collier is the best player on the team averaging 20.7 points and 10.1 rebounds per game while Kayla McBride scores 16.5 points per game.

Betting Trends

The Mercury are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games overall, 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games following a ATS win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on three or more days off, 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games against teams from the Western Conference, 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games against teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games played on Saturday. Phoenix has played over the total point line in the last 6 games played on Saturday, in 4 of the last 5 games following a win, 8 of the last 11 games following an ATS win, and 21 of the last 31 games following a three-day rest. The Lynx are 5-1 ATS in the last six games against teams with a winning record. 11-4 ATS in the last 15 games overall, 10-4 ATS in the last 14 games against teams from the Western Conference, and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games following an ATS win. Minnesota has played over the total point line in 8 of the last 11 games played on Saturday, 20 of the last 27 games following a win, and 12 of the last 17 games following an ATS win.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Minnesota Lynx are in great form, winning the last five games, and the Mercury are also picking up their form, winning the last two. Minnesota is on top of the conference and will probably stay there until the end of the season. The Lynx have won eight of the last 10 games against the Mercury, but Phoenix won the first game this season, 81-80. The Lynx will definitely have that loss on their minds going into this game and will dominate the floor, covering the -6.5-point spread.