Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun – Breakdown and Prediction

July 14, 2024

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun: Both teams are coming off a loss

The Phoenix Mercury are visiting the Connecticut Sun today at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Can the Mercury get closer to the top in the West?

The Phoenix Mercury are fourth in the Western Conference with a 12-11 record, including 4-7 on the road. After winning three consecutive games, the Mercury lost 95-86 to the Indiana Fever in the last one. Phoenix is ranked fifth in the league, averaging 81.8 points per game on shooting 33.3% from three-point territory and 42% from the field. Kahleah Copper leads the team, averaging 23.5 points, and Brittney Griner adds 18.5.

The Sun are going for the top of the East

The Connecticut Sun are second in the Eastern Conference with a 17-5 record, including 9-3 at home. After winning three consecutive games, the Sun lost 71-68 to the New York Liberty in the last one. The Sun are fourth in the league, shooting 43.4% from the field, and are the team with the most free throw attempts per game in the league, 21.3. DeWanna Bonner leads the team with 17.1 points per game, while Brionna Jones has 13.

Betting Trends

The Mercury are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games following an ATS loss, 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games following a loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Sunday, 9-4 ATS in the last 13 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Phoenix has played under the total point line in 5 of their last 7 games following an ATS loss, in 4 of their last 6 games following a loss, in 4 of their last 5 games playing after a one-day rest, in 19 of their last 27 games played on Sunday and in 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The Sun are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games following a loss, 2-7 ATS in the last 9 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Connecticut has played under the total point line in their last 4 games overall, in their last 8 games against teams from the Western Conference, in 5 of their last 6 games played on Sunday and 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams have promising seasons, and whoever wins this one will have a huge boost in the right direction. The Sun have won 7 of their last 10 games against the Mercury and are pretty solid at home, winning 9 of 12 of those games. The Sun are huge favorites in this game, with nine points in their favor. They haven’t covered the spread in their last four home games, and after winning the last three games against the Mercury in double digits, this will be a closer one, so we go with the Phoenix to cover the +9-point spread.