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Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets – Breakdown and Prediction

Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images/Sipa USA

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets: A matchup between the top teams in the NL East

The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the New York Mets tonight at Citi Field.

 

The Phillies can clinch the playoffs tonight

The Philadelphia Phillies are on top of the NL East with the best record in the MLB, 91-62, including 39-36 on the road. They have split the last six games. The Phillies have a 3.74 ERA, a .239 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryce Harper leads the team with 150 hits, Kyle Schwarber is on top with 104 runs, and 35 home runs.

 

The Mets are still in the playoff run

The New York Mets are second in the NL East with an 85-68 record, including 44-34 at home. They have won the last 4 games and scored exactly 10 runs in each of their last three. The Mets have a 3.90 ERA, a .226 batting average, a .313 on-base percentage, and 1.25 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 163 hits and 103 runs and Pete Alonso is on top with 34 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Mets are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games overall, 10-1 SU in their last 11 home games and 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Phillies. New York has played over the total run line in 6 of their last 8 games overall, 8 of their last 12 games against the Phillies and 5 of their last 7 games against teams from the NL. The Phillies are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games overall, 12-6 SU in their last 18 games against the Mets and 1-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Philadelphia has played over the total run line in 6 of their last 7 games against teams from the NL East and 4 of their last 5 games played on Friday.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Philadelphia Phillies have had an excellent season and look like a real contender for the upcoming playoffs. The New York Mets have 63.3% of a chance to make it to the postseason and will have to keep the foot on the gas to get there. They won 10-6 last night in the series opener against the Phillies, which is their fourth consecutive win. Scoring ten runs in three consecutive games is really impressive, but getting even close to that tonight is very unlikely. The Phillies will start Christopher Sanchez, who is 10-9 for the season with a 3.24 ERA, 142 K, 172 IP, and 1.23 WHIP. The Mets will go with one of their best, as David Peterson is 9-2 for the season with a 2.85 ERA, 89 K, 110.1 IP, and 1.31 WHIP. The total run line is set at a low 7.5, but still we go with the under.

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