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Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets: National League Division Series
The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the New York Mets in Game 4 of the NLDS at Citi Field on Wednesday.
The Phillies can get the job done today
The Philadelphia Phillies finished the regular season on top of the NL East with 95-67 record, including 41-40 on the road. The Phillies have a 3.74 ERA, a .239 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryce Harper leads the team with 157 hits, Kyle Schwarber is on top with 110 runs, and 38 home runs.
Can the Mets survive?
The New York Mets finished the regular season third in the NL East with an 89-73 record, including 46-35 at home. The Mets have a 3.95 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .313 on-base percentage, and 1.26 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 169 hits and 107 runs and Pete Alonso is on top with 34 home runs.
Betting Trends
The Tigers are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games overall, 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the AL and 9-3 SU in their last 12 games against teams from the AL Central. Detroit has played under the total run line in 6 of their last 8 games overall, 4 of their last 6 games against Cleveland and 8 of their last 10 home games. The Guardians are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Detroit, 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the AL Central and 1-4 SU in their last 5 games in October. Cleveland has played under the total run line in 5 of their last 7 games on the road.
Prediction and Conclusion
The New York Mets came back home in a promising situation after stealing one game on the road in Philadelphia, but the Phillies responded well and won 7-2 in Game 3 in New York. Now, the Phillies are again in the driver’s seat and can get the job done tonight at Citi Field. They believe Ranger Suárez is their guy, who will be the starting pitcher tonight after going 12-8 for the season with a 3.46 ERA, 145 K, 150 IP, and 1.20 WHIP. The Mets will try to save the season by going with Jose Quintana, who is 10-10 for the season with a 3.75 ERA, 135 K, 170.1 IP, and 1.25 WHIP. The stakes are as high as possible, and every run can be decisive. Given that, we will not see much hitting tonight, so we go with under 7.5 total runs.
