Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers – Breakdown and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers: A matchup for the top of the NL

The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the Milwaukee Brewers tonight at the American Family Field.

The Phillies are on top of the NL

The Philadelphia Phillies are on top of the NL East with the best record in the MLB, 90-60, including 38-34 on the road. They have won 5 of the last 7 games and are coming off a 6-2 loss to the Brewers in the series opener. The Phillies have a 3.74 ERA, a .239 batting average, a .301 on-base percentage, and 1.22 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Alec Bohm leads the team with 148 hits, Kyle Schwarber is on top with 101 runs, and 35 home runs.

The Brewers have a promising season

The Milwaukee Brewers are on top of the NL Central with an 87-63 record, including 43-29 at home. They have won 3 of the last 4 games including the series opener against the Phillies. The Brewers have a 3.66 ERA, a .235 batting average, a .305 on-base percentage, and 1.24 walks plus hits per inning pitched. William Contreras leads the team with 158 hits, and 94 runs while Willy Adames is on top with 32 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Brewers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the NL and 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the NL East. Milwaukee has played under the total run line in 4 of their last 5 home games and 4 of their last 5 games against the Phillies while they have gone over in 4 of their last 6 home games against the Phillies. Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games overall, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against the Brewers, 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL and 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the NL Central. The Phillies have played over the total run line in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams have had an excellent season and are already thinking about the playoffs. The Brewers won the series opener 6-2 last night, ending the four-game losing streak against the Phillies. Philadelphia will try to bounce back going with one of their best pitchers tonight. Zack Wheeler is 15-6 for the season, with a 2.60 ERA, 199 K, 179.2 IP, and 0.97 WHIP. The Brewers will have Frankie Montas on the mound, who is 7-10 for the season with a 4.49 ERA, 128 K, 138.1 IP, and 1.34 WHIP. None of the last five games between these two teams have gone over, so we go with this one to stay under 7.5 total runs.