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Ole Miss Rebels vs Arkansas Razorbacks: Can the Razorbacks beat the odds here?

The Arkansas Razorbacks are hosting the Ole Miss Rebels at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR on Saturday.

Are the Rebels really that good?

The Ole Miss Rebels are ninth in the SEC with a 6-2 record, including 2-2 in conference play. They have split the last four games and are coming off a 26-14 win over Oklahoma. Jaxson Dart had an impressive game going for 311 yards on 22 of 30 passing. The Rebels are second in the nation with 536.5 yards per game and rank 14th scoring 39.5 points per game.

The Razorbacks are under pressure

The Arkansas Razorbacks are seventh in the SEC with a 5-3 record, including 3-2 in conference play. They have won 2 of the last 3 games and are coming off a 58-25 win over the Mississippi Stet Bulldogds. Taylen Green was rock solid throwing for 314 yards on 23 of 29 passing. The Razorbacks are 55th in the nation allowing 349.1 yards per game and rank 42nd allowing 21.8 points per game.

Betting Trends

The Razorbacks are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games overall, 4-10 SU in their last 14 games against teams from the SEC, and 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the West Division. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played at home, and 5-0 ATS against Ole Miss. Arkansas has played under the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games overall and has gone over in their last 6 games played in November. The Rebels are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games overall, 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Arkansas, 5-1 SU inn their last 6 games against teams from the West Division, and 9-4 SU in their last 13 games played in November. They are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games against Arkansas, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 visits to Arkansas. Ole Miss has played under the total point line in their last 7 games overall and 7 of their last 8 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Ole Miss Rebels are off to a great start to the season, or at least it looks like it. The 6-2 score sounds very promising, but if we take a look at the schedule, four of those wins came in non-conference play against teams that are simply not on high level. Being second in the nation in total yards per game deserves all the respect, but they will dramatically drop as they continue to face conference rivals. The next one is the Arkansas Razorbacks, who are coming off a solid win against the Mississippi State. They won the last two times they hosted Ole Miss and covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings, so going with them to cover the +7.5-point spread is one of the best picks this week.