Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti – Breakdown and Prediction

July 12, 2024

Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti: Wimbledon – Semifinals

The seven-time Wimbledon champion Novak Djokovic will take on Lorenzo Musetti for a spot in the final in the tournament.

Novak Djokovic Profile

Novak Djokovic has recently dropped from the top of the rankings and currently is second. The Serbian is 22-6 for the season and 4-0 on grass.

Djokovic skipped the quarterfinal match after Alex de Minaur was forced to withdraw with an injury. Previously he won 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 over Holger Rune in the round of 16. Earlier in the tournament, Djokovic defeated Alexei Popyrin, Jacob Fearnley and Vit Kopriva.

Djokovic has yet to win a title this season. His best result was the semifinal at the Australian Open, where he lost to Jannik Sinner, and he reached the same stage in Monte Carlo and Geneva.

Djokovic has won seven titles, including Wimbledon. Last year, he lost in the final to Carlos Alcaraz after winning the previous four editions.

Lorenzo Musetti Profile

Lorenzo Musetti is 25th in the ATP rankings, ten spots lower than his career high. The Italian is 29-19 for the season and 12-2 on grass.

Musetti is coming off a 3-6, 7-6, 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 win over Taylor Fritz in the quarterfinal. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Pericard in the round of 16. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Francisco Comesana, Luca Darderi, and Constantin Lestienne.

The week before Wimbledon, Musetti lost in the final at Queen’s Club to Tommy Paul, and the week before in the semifinal at Stuttgart to Matteo Berrettini.

Musetti also lost two finals at the Challenger Tour this season in Cagliari and Turin.

This is his first ever quarterfinal at any Grand Slam tournament.

Head-to-Head Djokovic leads 5-1

Djokovic vs Musetti 7-5, 6-7, 2-6, 6-3, 6-0 (2024 French Open, third round)
Djokovic vs Musetti 7-5, 6-3 (2024 ATP Monte Carlo, round of 16)
Musetti vs Djokovic 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 (2023 ATP Monte Carlo, round of 16)
Djokovic vs Musetti 6-0, 6-3 (2022 ATP Paris Masters, quarterfinal)
Djokovic vs Musetti 6-3, 6-3 (2022 ATP Dubai, first round)
Djokovic vs Musetti 6-7, 6-7, 6-1, 6-0, 4-0 (2021 French Open, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

After playing an epic match that lasted 4 hours and 32 minutes in the third round of the French Open, these two players will meet again in just over a month. Djokovic came back from the dead in that one, and it will be interesting to see if Musetti can take him to the edge once again. Djokovic is in a better situation since he skipped the quarterfinals as Alex de Minaur retired. Musetti had a five-setter against Taylor Fritz, and that will also make the difference in this one. Despite the recent surgery, Djokovic has been playing very well at Wimbledon, and he will be the one to advance to the final with a win that will go over 34.5 games in total.