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North Carolina vs Virginia – Breakdown and Prediction

 

Scott Kinser/Cal Sport Media/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon sport

North Carolina vs Virginia: Two of the top three teams in the ACC collide on Saturday

The North Carolina Tar Heels are visiting the Virginia Cavaliers at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville.

The Tar Heels are struggling lately

The North Carolina Tar Heels are on top of the ACC with a 20-6 record, and they are 12-3 in conference play. The Tar Heels have lost three of their last six games and are coming off a 96-81 win over Virginia Tech. Armando Bacot tied his season-high with 25 points. RJ Davis leads the Tar Heels with 21.3 points per game. They are 20th in the nation, scoring 82.8 points per game, and are ranked 11th with 18 free throws made per game.

The Cavaliers are having a great season

The Virginia Cavaliers are third in the ACC with a 20-7 record and 11-5 in conference play. After winning 8 consecutive games, Virginia lost 2 of the last 3 games. They are coming off a 75-41 loss to their local rival, Virginia Tech. Isaac McKneely led the Cavaliers with 11 points. Reece Beekman leads Virginia with 13.9 points and 5.8 assists per game. The Cavaliers are 31st in the nation, shooting 37% from the three-point line, and are second with only 8.4 turnovers per game.

Betting Trends

Virginia is 14-12-1 ATS for the season, 9-5-1 ATS at home and 3-3-0 ATS after a loss. North Carolina is 15-11-0 ATS for the season, 5-3-0 ATS on the road and 11-8-0 ATS after a win.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams are having a solid season, and this game will have a major impact on which team finishes at the top of the ACC. Virginia’s confidence was crushed after a 34-point loss to Virginia Tech. The Tar Heels are also going through a difficult period and have shown that they are vulnerable, especially on the road. There is no doubt that the Tar Heels are favorites in this game, and they are given a -3.5-point spread. However, looking at the numbers, Virginia had beaten the Tar Heels in the last five home games. This will be a tight game, with the Cavaliers having a chance to win and covering the spread.

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