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Nicolas Jarry vs Tommy Paul – Breakdown and Prediction

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Nicolas Jarry vs Tommy Paul: ATP Rome – semifinal

Both players will play their first semifinal at the Masters series tournament when they meet on Friday at the ATP Rome.


Nicolas Jarry Profile

Nicolas Jarry is 24th in the ATP rankings, while his career high is No. 18 in the world. The Chilean is 15-11 for the season and 8-6 on clay.

He is coming off a 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 win over Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarterfinal. Previously, he defeated qualifier Alexandre Muller in the round of 16 and two home players, Stefano Napolitano and Matteo Arnaldi.

Jarry came to Rome after losing the first matches in Monte Carlo, Barcelona, and Madrid.

His best result this season was the final in Buenos Aires, where he lost to Facundo Diaz Acosta.

This is his third appearance in Rome and the first time he has moved past the first round.


Tommy Paul Profile

Tommy Paul is currently 16th in the ATP rankings, four spots lower than his career high. The American is 18-7 for the season and 4-1 on clay surfaces.

He is coming off a 7-5, 3-6, 6-3 win over Hubert Hurkacz in the quarterfinal. Previously in the tournament, he defeated Daniel Koepfer and Aslan Karatsev 6-4, 6-2.

Last week, in Madrid, Paul lost to Francisco Cerundolo in the third round.

His best result of the season is the title in Dallas, where he defeated Marcos Giron in the final, and the final in Delray Beach, where he lost to Taylor Fritz.

This is his fifth appearance in Rome and the first time to go this deep.


Head-to-Head Paul leads 2-1

  • Jarry vs Paul 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, 7-5 (2023 French Open, second round)
  • Paul vs Jarry 6-3, 6-2 (2020 ATP Adelaide, qualifiers)
  • Paul vs Jarry 7-6, 5-7, 7-6 (2014 Futures)


Prediction and Conclusion

Both Jarry and Paul are having an excellent week in Rome and have exceeded everyone’s expectations. Both of them are coming off tough three-set matches in the quarterfinals. Jarry was on the verge of losing against Tsitsipas, but he showed tremendous confidence in the key moments and won the match. Paul also had a major challenge against Hurkacz and played his best tennis when needed the most. This is a huge chance for both players to reach their first ever Masters final, and this will be an epic battle that will go over 22.5 games in total.

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