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Nicolas Jarry vs Facundo Diaz Acosta – Breakdown and Prediction

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Nicolas Jarry vs Facundo Diaz Acosta: ATP Buenos Aires – Final

Home player Facundo Diaz Acosta will face Nicolas Jarry in the ATP Buenos Aires final.

Nicolas Jarry Profile

Nicolas Jarry is 21st in the ATP rankings, three spots lower than his career high. The Chilean is 7-3 for the season and 2-0 on clay courts.

He is coming off one of the biggest wins in his career defeating world No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinal by 7-6, 6-3. In the quarterfinal, Jarry went through after Tomas Martin Etcheverry retired before the final set started. Previously, Jarry defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-7, 6-2, 7-6, which was his first main draw win in his fifth appearance in the Argentinian capital.

Earlier this season, Jarry lost in the opening round of the Australian Open, went 1-1 in the Davis Cup, 2-0 in the United Cup.

Jarry has a total of three ATP titles, and two of those were won last year in Geneve and Santiago.

Facundo Diaz Acosta Profile

Facundo Diaz Acosta is 87th in the ATP rankings, which is the highest he has ever been. The 23-year-old Argentinian is 8-4 for the season, including 6-1 on clay courts.

In the semifinal, he defeated Federico Coria 6-2, 6-3. Previously, he went past Dusan Lajovic, Francisco Cerundolo, and Daniel Altmeier, winning all matches in straight sets.

Last week, Diaz Acosta lost in the quarterfinal in Cordoba to Sebastian Baez. At the Australian Open, he pushed Taylor Fritz to five sets in the opening round. Prior to that, he lost in the opening rounds in Canberra and Adelaide.

Diaz Acosta has never won an ATP title and has nine titles in lower-level tournaments.

Head-to-Head – Jarry leads 3-0

  • Jarry vs Diaz Acosta 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 (2022 US Open, qualifiers)
  • Jarry vs Diaz Acosta 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 (2022 Luedenscheid Challenger, round of 16)
  • Jarry vs Diaz Acosta 6-7, 7-5, 6-4 (2021 Santiago Challenger, round of 16)


Prediction and Conclusion

Nicolas Jarry did the unthinkable by beating Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets in the semifinal and will have a chance to win the fourth title in his career. On the other side of the net will be Facundo Diaz Acosta, who has made it to this first-ever ATP final, and he has done that in his hometown. Jarry has won all three of their previous head-to-head matches, with all three going into the decisive set. There is no doubt that Jarry is the better overall player, and if he beats Alcaraz, he can beat anybody, but Diaz Acosta has made it to the final without dropping a set and will have the support of the crowd. Given all that, this will be a huge fight that will go over 22.5 games.

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