New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies – Breakdown and Prediction

July 29, 2024

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies: A possible World Series final

The New York Yankees are visiting the Philadelphia Phillies to open up the series today at Citizens Bank Park.

The Yankees are picking up their form

The New York Yankees are second in the AL East with a 62-45 record, including 35-22 on the road. They are coming off back-to-back wins over the Boston Red Sox which is a huge confidence boost the Yankees needed at this point of the season. The Yankees have a 3.71 ERA, a .227 batting average, a .307 on-base percentage, and 1.23 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Aaron Judge leads the team with 117 hits, 81 runs and 37 home runs.

The Phillies have the best record in the entire league

The Philadelphia Phillies are on top of the NL East with the best record in the MLB, 65-40, including 38-18 at home. They have lost 3 of the last 4 games and sare coming off a 6-3 loss to the Cleveland Guardians. The Phillies have a 3.43 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .293 on-base percentage, and 1.16 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Alec Bohm leads the team with 116 hits, Kyle Schwarber is on top with 69 runs, and Bryce Harper has 24 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Phillies are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games overall, 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games against the Yankees and 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AL. Philadelphia has played under the total run line in 4 of their laast 5 games overall and in 6 of their last 8 home games while they have gone over in 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the AL East. The Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against the Phillies but 0-8 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the NL. The Yankees have played over the total run line in 7 of their last 8 games overall, in 4 of their last 5 games on the road and in 5 of their last 7 games against teams from the NL East.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Phillies have the best record in the league, but it is a fact that they have dropped their level since the All-Star break. Losing three of the last four games has sounded the alarm in Philadelphia, and they will have to wake up against one of their biggest rivals. The Yankees were on top of the AL East for the first couple of months of the season but have not reached the Baltimore Orioles since then. The Yankees will start Luis Gil, who is 10-5 for the season with a 3.10 ERA, 124 K, 107.1 IP, and 1.08 WHIP. The Phillies will also go with one of their best, as Zack Wheeler is 10-4 for the season with a 2.55 ERA, 1.33 K, 123.2 IP, and 0.98 WHIP. Both pitchers are on top of their game, and just like the last two games between these two teams, this will stay under 9 runs in total.