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New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians – Breakdown and Prediction

October 19, 2024

Cleveland Guardians

MLB

New York Yankees

Players

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians: ALCS – Game 5

The New York Yankees are visiting the Cleveland Guardians today at Progressive Field in Game 5 of the ALCS.

The Yankees are almost there

The New York Yankees finished the regular season on top of the AL East with a 94-68 record, including 44-37 at home. The Yankees have a 3.78 ERA, a .232 batting average, a .310 on-base percentage, and 1.25 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Aaron Judge is the best player on the team with 180 hits, 122 runs, and league-high 58 home runs.

Can the Guardians keep their season alive?

The Cleveland Guardians finished the regular season on top of the AL Central with a 92-69 record, including 50-30 at home. The Guardians have a 3.58 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.20 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jose Ramirez is the best player on the team with 173 hits, 114 runs, and 39 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Guardians are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the AL East and 4-8 SU in their last 12 games in October. Cleveland has played over the total run line in 5 of their last 6 games overall, 7 of their last 9 games against the Yankees, and 4 of their last 5 home games against the Yankees. The Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games overall, 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against the Guardians, and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road. New York has played under the total run line in 10 of their last 15 games played in October.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Yankees are in an excellent situation, having a 3-1 series lead against the Cleveland Guardians after an 8-6 win last night. The Guardians, who won game 3 of the series, need to win tonight in order to keep their season alive. They will start Tanner Bibee, who is 12-8 for the season with a 3.47 ERA, 187 K, 173.2 IP, and 1.12 WHIP. The Yankees will go with Carlos Rodón, who is 16-9 for the season with a 3.96 ERA, 195 K, 175 IP, and 1.22 WHIP. Both pitchers have a lot of experience and a good season behind them. Every pitch will matter tonight, so we go with under 8.5 runs in total.