New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians – Breakdown and Prediction

David Dermer-Imagn Images/Sipa USA

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians: ALCS – Game 4

The New York Yankees are visiting the Cleveland Guardians today at Progressive Field in Game 4 of the ALCS.

 

The Yankees are in a promising situation

The New York Yankees finished the regular season on top of the AL East with a 94-68 record, including 44-37 at home. The Yankees have a 3.78 ERA, a .232 batting average, a .310 on-base percentage, and 1.25 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Aaron Judge is the best player on the team with 180 hits, 122 runs, and league-high 58 home runs.

 

The Guardians are back in the series

The Cleveland Guardians finished the regular season on top of the AL Central with a 92-69 record, including 50-30 at home. The Guardians have a 3.58 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.20 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jose Ramirez is the best player on the team with 173 hits, 114 runs, and 39 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Guardians are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games overall and 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against teams from the AL East. They have played over the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, 5 of their last 8 games against the Yankees and 4 of their last 6 games against teams from the AL. The Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland and 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They have played under the total run line in 4 of their last 6 games overall, 6 of their last 9 games against teams from the AL Central and 10 of their last 14 games in October.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Cleveland Guardians found themselves being 2-0 down as the series moved to Ohio and responded well, winning the first home game 7-5 in the tenth inning. The Guardians will now look to tie things up going with Gavin Williams on the mound, who is 3-10 for the season with a 4.86 ERA, 79 K, 76 IP, and 1.37 WHIP. The Yankees will have Luis Gil, who is 15-7 for the season, with a 3.50 ERA, 171 K, 151.2 IP, and 1.19 WHIP. It is pretty strange to see the Guardians going with a pitcher with this record in such a big game. The Yankees looked pretty good all year long and will not miss this opportunity to get one win away from the World Series.

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