Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians: ALCS – Game 3

The New York Yankees are visiting the Cleveland Guardians today at Progressive Field in Game 3 of the ALCS.

The Yankees are in a promising situation

The New York Yankees finished the regular season on top of the AL East with a 94-68 record, including 44-37 at home. The Yankees have a 3.78 ERA, a .232 batting average, a .310 on-base percentage, and 1.25 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Aaron Judge is the best player on the team with 180 hits, 122 runs, and league-high 58 home runs.

Can the Guardians stay in the series?

The Cleveland Guardians finished the regular season on top of the AL Central with a 92-69 record, including 50-30 at home. The Guardians have a 3.58 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.20 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jose Ramirez is the best player on the team with 173 hits, 114 runs, and 39 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Guardians are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games overall, 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Yankees and 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the AL East. Cleveland has played under the total run line in 10 of their last 15 games overall, 13 of their last 17 home games and 13 of the last 20 games against teams from the AL. The Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games overall, 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against the Guardians and 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. New York has played under the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall and 4 of their last 6 games against teams from the AL.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Yankees did a great job by winning both home games and now have a 2-0 lead in the series. All the pressure is on the Guardians now as the series moves to their home field. Cleelvenad had the best home record in the AL in the regular season, so they will have a decent chance to stay in the series. Matthew Boyd will start for Cleveland today, who is 2-2 for the season with a 2.72 ERA, 46 K, 39.2 IP, and 1.13 WHIP. The Yankees will go with Clarke Schmidt, who is 5-5 for the season with a 2.85 ERA, 93 K, 85.1 IP, and 1.18 WHIP. Neither pitcher is especially experienced in the postseason, so it will bump on the rad from the very start of the game. Therefore, we go with over 0.5 runs in the opening inning.