New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox – Breakdown and Prediction

July 26, 2024

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: The AL East Classic

The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox are starting their series tonight at Fenway Park.

The Yankees are struggling lately

The New York Yankees are second in the AL East with a 60-44 record, including 33-21 on the road. They are coming off a 12-3 loss to the Mets losing both games in the series against the city rivals. The Yankees have a 3.63 ERA, a .225 batting average, a .304 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Aaron Judge leads the team with 111 hits, 76 runs and 35 home runs.

Can the Red Sox make it to the playoffs?

The Boston Red Sox are third in the AL East with a 54-47 record including 24-25 at home. They have lost 5 of the last 6 games following the All-Star break and are coming off the toughest lost of the season, 20-7 to the Colorado Rockies. Boston has a 3.81 ERA, a .238 batting average, a .300 on-base percentage, and 1.20 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Jarren Duran is the best player on the team 124 hits, 73 runs while Rafael Devers leads the team with 23 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Red Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games overall and 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the AL East. Boston has played over the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, in their last 5 home games and in their last 5 games against teams from the AL. The Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games overall, 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Red Sox and 9-3 SU in their last 12 games played on Friday. New York has played over the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, in 10 of their last 14 games on the road and 4 of their last 6 games against teams from the AL.

Prediction and Conclusion

The upcoming weekend brings the biggest rivalry in baseball, with both the Yankees and the Red Sox struggling lately. The Yanks were the top team in the league in the first couple of months of the season, but since they dropped to second place, they could not manage to reach the Orioles. The Yankees are going to Boston after allowing 12 runs in the last one, but things are even worse for the Red Sox, who allowed a season-high 20 runs in their last game. The Red Sox will start Brayan Bello tonight, who is 10-5 for the season with a 5.27 ERA, 92 K, 95.2 IP, and 1.44 WHIP. The Yankees will have Nestor Cortes on the mound, who is 4-9 for the season with a 3.99 ERA, 111 K, 119.2 IP, and 1.16 WHIP. Neither team is in good form to go with them, and with the total run line being set at 9.5 and three of their last five games going over, we will follow the trend and go with it again.