New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles – Breakdown and Prediction

July 12, 2024

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles: A fight for the top of the AL East

The top teams in the AL East are starting a three-game series tonight at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Yankees have a bad month

The New York Yankees are second in the AL East with a 56-39 record, including 31-18 on the road. They have lost seven of the last nine games and are coming off a 5-4 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Yankees have a 3.60 ERA, a .223 batting average, a .305 on-base percentage, and 1.21 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Aaron Judge leads the team with 102 hits, 70 runs and 32 home runs.

The Orioles are coming off a tough series

The Baltimore Orioles are on top of the AL East with a 57-36 record and 29-20 at home. They were swept in the last series against the Cubs and failed to score a single run in the last two games. The Orioles have a 3.62 ERA, a .226 batting average, a .294 on-base percentage, and 1.18 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Gunnar Henderson leads the team with 104 hits, 77 runs and 27 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Orioles are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games overall, 2-4 SU in their last 6 home games and 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games against the Yankees. Baltimore has played under the total run line in 6 of their last 9 home games played on Friday. The Yankees are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games overall, 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against the Orioles, 2-5 SU in their last 7 visits to Baltimore and 5-10 SU in their last 15 games against teams from the AL. The Yankees have played over the total run line in 14 of their last 20 games overall, in 9 of their last 11 games on the road and in 12 of their last 18 games against teams from the AL East.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Yankees had a strong start to the season, but things have taken a different path in recent weeks. The Baltimore Orioles have taken advantage of that and are on top of the AL East. However, they are coming off their worst series of the season, being swept against the Cubs. The Orioles will try to get back on winning track with rookie Cade Povich on the mound, who is 1-3 for the season with a 6.51 ERA, 18 K, 27.2 IP, and 1.48 WHIP. The Yankees are also coming off a losing series and will go with Gerrit Cole, who is 1-1 for the season with a 6.75 ERA, 19 K, 17.1 IP, and 1.62 WHIP. Neither of these pitchers looks confident at the moment, and as both teams are struggling, this will be a high-scoring game, going over 9 runs in total.