New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays – Breakdown and Prediction

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New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays: Both teams have split the last ten games

The New York Mets are visiting the Toronto Blue Jays tonight at T-Mobile Park.

 

Can the Mets stay on the right track?

The New York Mets are second in the NL East with a 79-66 record, including 39-32 on the road. After winning nine consecutive games, the Mets lost two of the last three. The Mets have a 3.98 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .316 on-base percentage, and 1.27 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 159 hits and 101 runs and Pete Alonso is on top with 31 home runs.

 

It is too late for the Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays are at the bottom of the AL East with a 69-77 record, including 35-36 at home. They have lost 6 of their last 8 games. The Blue Jays have a 4.33 ERA, a .241 batting average, a .316 on-base percentage, and 1.28 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with 178 hits, 87 runs, and 28 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Blue Jays are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games overall, 8-4 SU in their last 12 home games against the Mets and 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against teams from the NL. Toronto has played under the total run line in 9 of their last 13 games overall, 4 of their last 6 games against the Mets, and 4 of their last 6 games against teams from the NL East. The Mets are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall, 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Blue Jays, and 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the AL. New York has played under the total run line in 8 of their last 12 games overall and 5 of their last 6 games on the road.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Mets are solid for winning 8 of their last 10 games and have a 49.6% chance to make the playoffs. The Blue Jays are already out of the playoff race, but still, they won 6-2 last night after the Mets won the series opener by 3-2. Both teams will start some of their pitchers tonight. The Blue Jays will go with Bowden Francis, who is 8-4 for the season with a 3.72 ERA, 81 K, 84.2 IP, and 0.99 WHIP. The Mets will start Sean Manaea, who is 11-5 for the season with a 3.43 ERA, 163 K, 157.1 IP, and 1.10 WHIP. The total run line is set at 8.5, and given the fact that four of the last five games between the two have ended under it, and both teams are set for some decent pitching tonight, we go with under.