New York Mets vs New York Yankees – Breakdown and Prediction

July 23, 2024

New York Mets vs New York Yankees: The Subway Derby is on

The New York Mets and the New York Yankees are starting a two-game series tonight at Yankee Stadium.

The Mets have a winning record on the road

The New York Mets are third in the NL East with a 51-48 record, including 26-21 on the road. They are coming into this series after splitting the one against the Miami Marlins. The Mets have a 4.22 ERA, a .234 batting average, a .323 on-base percentage, and 1.31 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 102 hits and 66 runs while Pete Alonso is on top with 19 home runs.

The Yankees are targeting the top of the AL

The New York Yankees are second in the AL East with a 60-42 record, including 27-21 at home. They are coming off a 9-1 win over the Tampa Bay Rays which split the series between the two. The Yankees have a 3.58 ERA, a .223 batting average, a .303 on-base percentage, and 1.20 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Aaron Judge leads the team with 111 hits, 76 runs and 35 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Yankees are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games overall and 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the NL. The Yankees have played over the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, in 4 of their last 6 games against the Mets and in 4 of their last 6 games against teams from the NL East. The Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games overall, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against the Yankees and 2-7 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the AL East. The Mets have played over the total run line in 5 of their last 7 games overall and in their last 5 games against teams from the AL and have played under in 4 of their last 5 games on the road against the Yankees.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams from New York have solid seasons and hope that they can reach the playoffs. The Yankees started strong and were on top of the AL for most of the year, but are now 1.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. The Yankees were very solid last night against the Rays, and they will try to build on that one tonight. The Yankees will start with Luis Gil on the mound, who is 10-5 for the season with a 3.17 ERA, 118 K, 102.1 IP, and 1.08 WHIP. The Mets will rely on the experience of Jose Quintana, who is 4-6 for the season with a 4.13 ERA, 79 K, 102.1 IP, and 1.26 WHIP. This will be an intense game as usual, and the total run line is set at 8.5. Given the fact that they went over in three of their last four games, we expect the same to happen tonight.