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New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers: Who moves on?

The New York Mets are visiting the Milwaukee Brewers in the decisive Wild Card game at American Family Field on Thursday.

 

Are the Mets built for this?

The New York Mets finished the regular season third in the NL East with an 89-73 record, including 43-38 on the road. The Mets have a 3.97 ERA, a .228 batting average, a .314 on-base percentage, and 1.26 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 169 hits and 107 runs and Pete Alonso is on top with 34 home runs.

 

Is this the game for the Brewers?

The Milwaukee Brewers finished the regular season on top of the NL Central with a 93-69 record, including 47-34 at home. The Brewers have a 3.66 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .304 on-base percentage, and 1.23 walks plus hits per inning pitched. William Contreras leads the team with 167 hits, and 99 runs while Willy Adames is on top with 32 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Brewers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games overall, 16-4 SU in their last 20 home games against the Mets and 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against teams from the NL East. Milwaukee has played over the total run line in 4 of their last 6 home games and has stayed under in their last 5 games played un Thursday. The Mets are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games against the Brewers and 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road. They have played over the total run line in 7 of their last 8 games played in October and have stayed under in 7 of their last 10 games played on Thursday.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The only Wild Card series that went to the decisive game is this one. The Mets won the series opener 8-5 even though they played two games the day before against the Atlanta Braves and made it to the postseason just because they won both of them. The Brewers managed to bounce back and stay in the series with a 5-3 win last night. Now it all comes to this one. The Brewers will start Tobias Myers, who is 9-6 for the season with a 3.00 ERA, 127 K, 138 IP, and 1.17 WHIP. The Mets will go with Jose Quintana, who is 10-10 for the season with a 3.75 ERA, 135 K, 170.1 IP, and 1.25 WHIP. The Brewers have been very dominant against the Mets lately, winning 8 of the last 10 head-to-head games and 16 of the last 20 at home. Given that and the momentum from last night, we go with the Brewers to win this game and the series.