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New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx: WNBA Finals – Game 3

The New York Liberty are visiting the Minnesota Lynx in Target Center in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals.

The Liberty need to win on the road

The New York Liberty finished the regular season on top of the Eastern Conference with the best record in the league of 32 wins and 8 losses, including 16-4 on the road. In the opening playoff round, they swept the Atlanta Dream, before beating the Las Vegas Aces in the semifinal in four games. The Liberty are second in the league averaging 85.8 points per game and third shooting 45% from the field. Breanna Stewart leads the team averaging 19.9 points per game in the playoffs.

The Lynx are in a promising situation

The Minnesota Lynx finished the regular season on top of the Western Conference with a 30-10 record, including 16-4 at home. In the opening playoff round, they swept the Phoenix Mercury before being pushed to the limit against the Connecticut Sun in five games in the semifinal. The Lynx are second in the league allowing 76.6 points per game and are the best three-point shooting team in the league making 38.1% of their attempts. Napheesa Collier leads the team averaging 25.2 points and 9.2 rebounds per game in the postseason.

Betting Trends

The Lynx are 20-5 SU in their last 25 games overall, 10-2 SU in their last 12 home games, 16-7 SU in their last 23 games against the Liberty and  10-2 SU in their last 12 home games against New York. They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against New York. Minnesota has played over the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, 13 of their last 19 games against the Liberty and 11 of their last 15 games when hosting New York. The Liberty are 19-6 SU in their last 25 games overall, and 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. New York has played over the total point line in 5 of their last 7 games overall.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Minnesota Lynx managed to do something that very few teams did this season, and that is beat the Liberty in New York. The 95-93 overtime win in the opening game of the WNBA series puts them in a promising situation even though the Liberty tied things up in Game 2. New York won that pretty easily by 80-66 and now is going to the Twin City hoping to win at least one game. The Lynx have a solid record at home, but despite that, the Liberty are 3.5-point favorites going into this one. Given that this game can go either way, we go with the Lynx to cover the spread.