New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces – Breakdown and Prediction

October 4, 2024

New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces: Playoffs – Semifinals

The New York Liberty are visiting the Las Vegas Aces in T-Mobile Arena in Game 3 of the WNBA Semifinals.

The Liberty are the main favorite this season

The New York Liberty finished the regular season on top of the Eastern Conference with the best record in the league of 32 wins and 8 losses, including 16-4 on the road. In the opening playoff round, they swept the Atlanta Dream. The Liberty are second in the league averaging 85.8 points per game and third shooting 45% from the field. Sabrina Ionescu leads the team averaging 24.7 points per game.

Can the Aces turn things around?

The Las Vegas Aces finished the regular season second in the Western Conference with a 27-13 record, including 13-7 at home. In the opening playoff round, the Aces swept the Seattle Storm. The Aces are the best offensive team in the league scoring 85.9 points per game on 45.3% shooting from the field. A’Ja Wilson leads the team averaging 22 points and 9 rebounds per game in the playoffs.

Betting Trends

The Aces are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games overall, 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games, 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against New York and 11-4 SU in their last 15 home games against the Liberty. They are 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Liberty. Las Vegas has played under the total point line in 9 of their last 12 games overall, 5 of their last 7 games when playing the Liverty and 4 of their last 6 home games against New York. The Liberty are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games overall, and 9-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road. They are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games on the road and 5-10-1 ATS in their last 16 games when playing in Las Vegas.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Liberty lost to the Las Vegas Aces last season in the WNBA Finals and definitely had that on their mind in the first two games of this series. The Liberty are going to Vegas with a 2-0 lead and are looking to close out the series tonight. Game 2 was pretty close, as the Liberty won 88-84 after a strong finish. Sabrina Ionescu scored 24 points. No team has rallied from a 2-0 deficit to win a best-of-five playoff series in WNBA postseason history, but the Aces still believe. A’Ja Wilson is the league MVP and the first player in league history to score over 1,000 points in a single season, and she will be the player to watch tonight. The Aces definitely have the quality to stay in this series and will win tonight.