New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs – Breakdown and Prediction

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images/Sipa USA

New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs: Can the Chiefs stay undefeated?

The New Orleans Saints and the Kansas City Chiefs will face each other at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday night.

 

The Saints have split the first four games of the season

The New Orleans Saints are third in the NFC South with a 2-2 record. They started the season well winning 47-10 in the opener against the Carolina Panthers. The following week, they were even better winning 44-19 on the road against the Dallas Cowboys. By that point, things were going well for the Saints, but then they lost the following two games. In Week 3, they lost 15-12 against the Philadelphia Eagles at home. Last week, the Saints failed 26-24 on the road to the Atlanta Falcons.

 

The Chiefs are off to a perfect start

The Kansas City Chiefs are on top of the AFC West with a 4-0 record. They started the season strong beating the Baltimore Ravens on the last play by 27-20. The following week, things were even more dramatic as the Chiefs escaped with a 26-25 win over the Cincinnati Bengals. In their first game on the road this year, Kansas City won 22-17 against the Atlanta Falcons. Last week, they won 17-10 against the Los Angeles Chargers not allowing the opponents to score after the opening quarter. Patrick Mahomes completed passes to six players and Travis Kelce had a season-high seven receptions for 89 yards and set the franchise’s career receptions record.

 

Betting Trends

The Chiefs are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games overall, 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games and 15-3 SU in their last 18 games against teams from the NFC. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in Week 5 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Monday. Kansas City has played under the total point line in 13 of their last 20 games overall, 4 of their last 5 games against the Saints, 4 of their last 6 games against teams from the NFC South and 4 of the last 5 games played in October. The Saints are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games overall, 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against the Chiefs, 13-7 SU in their last 20 games played in October and 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in Week 5. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games played on Monday. New Orleans has played over the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games overall and 5 of their last 7 games on the road.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

It’s been almost four years since these two teams faced each other the last time, and things have not changed much since then. The Kansas City Chiefs have another great start of the season, and even though some of their vulnerabilities were exposed, they are yet to lose a single game this season. The New Orleans Saints started well, but losing the last two games does not give them much hope when they visit the defending champions on Monday night. Patrick Mahomes is playing on his recognizable level and led his team to four consecutive wins to start the season. The Saints are 29th in the league, allowing 38.5 passing attempts per game, and that is not a defense that can slow down Mahomes. He definitely has the ability to find open looks to connect with his teammates, and that will lead the Chiefs to another win, this time by covering the -5.5-point spread.

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