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New Mexico Lobos vs. Utah State Aggies: In-Depth Betting Analysis and Predictions

Utah State Aggies: Season Overview

The Utah State Aggies boast an impressive 19-2 record this season, leading the Mountain West Conference with a 9-1 mark in conference play. Their .905 winning percentage ranks among the best in Division I basketball, trailing only Auburn and tied with Drake.

Offensively, the Aggies are formidable, averaging 82.4 points per game, placing them 29th nationally. Defensively, they concede 67.7 points per game, ranking 72nd. Their shooting efficiency is notable, with a 49.8% field goal percentage (10th nationally) and a 37.5% success rate from three-point range (37th). From the free-throw line, they shoot 71.2%, ranking 104th, and they average 35.1 rebounds per game (217th).

Key players include:

• Ian Martinez: Leading scorer with 16.7 points per game, along with 3.1 rebounds and 3 assists.

• Mason Falslev: Contributing 15.2 points, a team-high 6.2 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game.

The Aggies have been dominant at home, maintaining an 11-1 record at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum.

New Mexico Lobos: Season Overview

The New Mexico Lobos hold a 17-4 record, placing them second in the Mountain West Conference with a 9-1 conference record. They are coming off a narrow 75-73 victory over UNLV.

Offensively, the Lobos are potent, averaging 83.4 points per game, ranking 19th nationally. Defensively, they allow 72.4 points per game, placing them 215th. Their shooting percentages include 46.1% from the field (112th) and 34.8% from beyond the arc (137th). However, their free-throw shooting stands at 68.8% (271st), and they excel in rebounding with 40.4 per game (22nd).

Key players include:

• Donovan Dent: Leading scorer with 19.6 points per game and a team-high 6.6 assists.

• Nelly Junior Joseph: Adding 13.5 points and leading the team with 10.4 rebounds per game.

The Lobos have been effective on the road, holding a 4-2 record in away games.

Betting Trends and Insights

Utah State Aggies

• The Aggies have won each of their last nine home games against Mountain West Conference opponents.

• They are 10-10 against the spread (ATS) this season.

• The total has gone over in 9 of their 19 games, with 2 pushes.

New Mexico Lobos

• The Lobos have won 13 of their last 14 games against Mountain West Conference opponents.

• They are 10-10 ATS this season.

• The total has gone over in 10 of their 20 games.

Head-to-Head Matchup

• Utah State has dominated recent matchups, winning 8 of the last 9 meetings against New Mexico.

• The Aggies are 5-3 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Lobos.

• The total has gone over in the last 3 meetings between these teams.

In their most recent encounter on February 1, 2023, Utah State secured an 84-73 victory over New Mexico.

Prediction and Betting Recommendations

Considering Utah State’s strong home performance and recent dominance over New Mexico, the Aggies are favored in this matchup. Their offensive efficiency and home-court advantage make them a compelling choice.

Best Bet: Utah State Aggies to cover the spread.

Total Points: Given both teams’ offensive capabilities, the over is an attractive option.

Final Score Prediction: Utah State 85, New Mexico 78.

Insights

What is Utah State’s home record this season?

The Aggies have an impressive 11-1 record at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum.

How has New Mexico performed on the road?

The Lobos have a solid 4-2 record in away games this season.

Who are the key players to watch in this matchup?

For Utah State, Ian Martinez and Mason Falslev are pivotal, while New Mexico relies heavily on Donovan Dent and Nelly Junior Joseph.

What are the recent betting trends for these teams?

Utah State is 10-10