New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs – Breakdown and Prediction

New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs: Both teams are coming off losses

The San Diego State Aztecs are hosting the New Mexico Lobos at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA on Friday.

Is it too late for the Lobos?

The New Mexico Lobos are ninth in the Mountain West with a 3-6 record, including 2-3 in conference play. They have lost the last two games and are coming off a 49-45 loss to Wyoming. Devon Dampier rushed for 207 yards and Eli Sanders 205, for the first time in Lobos history that two rushers went for 200 yards in the same game, but they still lost. The Lobos are seventh in the nation with 480.1 yards per game and 26th scoring 34.8 points per game.

The Aztecs have a rollercoaster season

The San Diego State Aztecs are fourth in the Mountain West with a 3-5 record, including 2-1 in conference play. They have lost the last two games and are coming off a 56-24 loss to Boise State. Danny O’Neil threw for 155 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. The Aztecs are 106th in the nation scoring 22.5 points per game and are ranked 114th with 329.5 yards per game.

Betting Trends

The Aztecs are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games overall, 3-6 SU in their last 9 home games, and 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games against New Meixco. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the Mountain West Conference and 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 11. San Diego State has played under the total point line in 6 of their last 9 games against New Mexico and 13 of their last 20 games played in November, while have gone over in 7 of their last 10 games against teams from the Mountain Division. The Lobos are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games overall, 0-9 SU in their last 9 games against San Diego State and 4-16 SU in their last 20 games against teams from the Mountain West Conference. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the Aztecs and 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games played in November. New Mexico has played over the total point line in 8 of their last 10 games overall, 4 of their last 5 games on the road and 7 of their 9 games against teams from the West Division.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams have a tough year, and only San Diego State still has some chance to save the season. That will be very difficult even if they win this game. Both the Lobos and the Aztecs struggle on the defensive end; they are both coming off losses in which they allowed 105 points combined. That was rpetty common for the Lobos, whose four of nine games this season went over 90 total points. Looking at the total point loine for this game at 65.5, it seems pretty high for a football game, but with the way these two teams play, we still go with the over.