New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins – Breakdown and Prediction

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins: A NFC East matchup

The New England Patriots are visiting the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday.

It is a long run for the Patriots

The New England Patriots are at the bottom of the AFC East with a 3-8 record, including 2-4 on the road. They have split the last four games and are coming off a 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Rookie Drake Maye was 29 of 39 for 282 yards and two touchdowns.

Can the Dolphins save the season?

The Miami Dolphins are second in the AFC East with a 4-6 record, including 2-3 at home. After losing three straight games, they won the last two and are coming off a 34-19 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Tua Tagovailoa completed 28 of 36 passes for 288 yards and three touchdowns.

Betting Trends

The Dolphins are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games overall, 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the AFC and 12-2 SU in their last 14 games played in November. They are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against the Patriots. Miami has played under the total point line in 10 of their last 15 games overall, 6 of their last 9 games agains the Patriots, 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the AFC East and has gone over in 7 of their last 10 games played in Week 12. The Patriots are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games overall, 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Miami, 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road and 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AFC. They are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games against Dolphins, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 visits to Miami and 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games against teams from the AFC East.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New England Patriots are in their first season of the post-Bill Belickick era, and no one really expected anything of them. First-year coach Jerod Mayo had no pressure to win this season, and the Patriots could give a shot to the No. 3 overall pick in this year’s draft, quarterback Drake Maye, who has shown an elite talent. On the other side, the Miami Dolphins came into the season with high hopes, but things dramatically changed when Tua Tagovailoa went down with a concussion. The Dolphins could not beat anybody without him but got back to winning track since his return. The Dolphins won nine of their last 11 home games against the Patriots and will add another one by covering the -7-point spread.