New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars – Breakdown and Prediction

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New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Who will end the losing streak in London?

The New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars will meet on Sunday at Wembley Stadium in London.

 

Can the Patriots beat somebody?

The New England Patriots are losing the ground under their feet with the longest active losing streak in the league and are at the bottom of the AFC East with a 1-5 record. Last week, the Pats lost 41-21 at home against the Houston Texans, their third double-digit loss this season. The third overall pick from the 2024 NFL Draft, Drake Maye, made his first start for the Pats after veteran Jacoby Brissett was benched. The North Carolina alum finished 20 of 33 for 243 yards.

 

Is this the turning point for the Jaguars?

The Jacksonville Jaguars are at the bottom of the AFC South with a 1-5 record. The Jags are on a two-game overseas tour to London, where they lost 35-16 to the Chicago Bears at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.  Trevor Lawrence had just an average performance throwing 23 of 35 passes for 234 yards. Evan Engram caught 10 passes for 102 yards. The return of the tight end and his performance after missing the last four games is the only good news for the Jags.

 

Betting Trends

The Jaguars are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games overall, 1-8 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the AFC and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played in October. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home and 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games against teams from the AFC East. Jacksonville has played under the total point line in 6 of their last 9 games played on Sunday and 4 of their last 6 home games played on Sunday. The Patriots are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games overall, 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against the Jaguars, 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played on the road and 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AFC. They are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams from the AFC South and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October. New England has played over the total point line in 8 of their last 12 games played in Week 7.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The good news is that some of the teams, including the New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars, will win despite their respective 1-5 records going into this game. The Jags are a huge letdown, and we didn’t have high expectations for the Pats, who are currently rebuilding. As a starter, Trevor Lawrence recently ended the Jaguars’ nine-game losing streak, but that was the end of it. After defeating the Cincinnati Bengals in their opening game under Bill Belichick, the Patriots went on to lose their next five games. Following his selection in last week’s 41-21 home loss to Houston, rookie Drake Maye is anticipated to make his second career start for New England.  The Patriots scored 21 points in the most recent game, which is a season high, thanks to his performance. In terms of yards per play (4.3) and yards per pass attempt (5.5), the Pats are still in 31st place. This season, the Patriots have failed to score on their first drive and have failed to record a first down in four of their six opening drives. Rhamondre Stevenson, the top Patriots running back, Vederian Lowe, the offensive tackle, and Marcus Jones, the cornerback, were all listed as questionable for this game and did not practice last week. Returning to the Jaguars, Travis Etienne, their starting tailback, may be sidelined due to a hamstring injury that Pederson deemed week-to-week. If Etienne is sidelined, Jacksonville would mostly rely on Tank Bigsby and D’Ernest Johnson for passing downs. Etienne was the only player limited at Wednesday’s Jaguars practice, along with defensive end Arik Armstead, wide receiver Gabe Davis, tight end Evan Engram, offensive tackle Anton Harrison, and cornerback Tyson Campbell. Which of these will be available on Sunday is still up in the air, but it is obvious that the Jags need to win. We choose them to cover the -3.5-point spread because they are unquestionably a better team than the opponent.

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