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Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners – Breakdown and Prediction

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners: Both teams have high hopes this season

The Minnesota Twins and the Seattle Mariners are closing out their series today at T-Mobile Park.

 

The Twins have split the last ten games

The Minnesota Twins are second in the AL Central with a 46-37 record and are 23-21 on the road. They have won 3 of the last 4 games including a 5-1 win last night in Seattle. Minnesota has a 4.11 ERA, a .233 batting average, a .295 on-base percentage, and 1.19 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Willi Castro leads the Twins with 79 hits and 50 runs so far in the season while Ryan Jeffers is on top with 13 home runs.

 

The Mariners are for real this season

The Seattle Mariners are on top of the AL West with a 47-38 record, including 28-13 at home. They have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The Mariners have a 3.56 ERA, a .217 batting average, a .295 on-base percentage, and 1.19 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Julio Rodriguez leads the team with 82 hits and 37 runs while Cal Raleigh is on top with 14 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Mariners are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games overall, 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AL and 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AL Central. Seattle has played under the total run line in 7 of their last 8 home games and 6 of their last 9 home games against Minnesota. The Twins are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games overall, 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Seattle, 8-4 SU in their last 12 games against teams from the AL, and 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the AL West. Minnesota has played over the total run line in 8 of the last 12 games overall and 6 of their last 9 games on the road.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams have very similar records and are targeting a playoff appearance this season. They split the first two games of the series, with the Twins winning the first one 3-2 in the tenth inning and the Mariners winning last night by 5-1. The Mariners will try to build on that one with Luis Castillo on the mound, who is 6-9 for the season with a 3.79 ERA, 100 K, 99.2 IP, and 1.29 WHIP. The Twins have a slightly better pitcher today, with Joe Ryan being 5-5 for the season with a 3.31 ERA, 100 K, 98 IP, and 0.96 WHIP. Both pitchers have played a lot this season and lacked consistency. After two low-scoring games, this one will most likely go over 7.5 runs in total.

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