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Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty – Breakdown and Prediction

July 2, 2024

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty: A rematch of the Commissioner’s Cup final

The top two teams from each conference will face each other at Barclays Center on Tuesday.

The Lynx have a promising season

The Minnesota Lynx are on top of the Western Conference with a 14-4 record, including 5-3 on the road. They have won 7 of the last 8 games and are coming off a 70-62 win over the Chicago Sky. The Lynx are the best three-point shooting team in the league with 39.8% from deep and are ranked second with 45.3% shooting from the field and third, averaging 84.5 points per game. Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx with 20.9 points and 10.4 rebounds per game.

The Liberty have the best record in the league

The New York Liberty are on top of the Eastern Conference with a league-best 16-3 record including 9-1 at home. They have won the last four games and are coming off an 81-75 win over the Atlanta Dream. New York is the best in the league scoring 88.2 points per game while shooting 46.7% from the field and 83.6% from the free-throw line. Breanna Stewart leads the team with 19.8 points and 8.7 rebounds per game.

Betting Trends

New York covered the spread in 7 of 19 games so far this season. New York is 5-11 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites. The Liberty and their opponents have combined to hit the over 11 out of 19 times this season. The Liberty outscore opponents by 9.5 points per game and have a +181 scoring differential overall. The Lynx have won 13 games against the spread this season while failing to cover five times. Minnesota has been an underdog by 5.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in four of those contests. The Lynx and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven out of 18 times this year.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Minnesota Lynx defeated the New York Liberty 94-89 to win the Commissioner’s Cup just a week ago. That was a huge blow for the Liberty, who have the best record in the league this season. The Liberty will definitely have that on their mind and will leave everything on the court to avoid another loss to the Lynx. Minnesota has won seven of the last 10 games against New York, but Liberty has lost only one home game this season. This will be another tight game, with the Lynx covering the +5.5-point spread.