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Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun: WNBA Playoffs – Semifinals

The Minnesota Lynx are visiting the Connecticut Sun in Mohegan Sun Arena in Game 3 of the WNBA Semifinals.

Can the Lynx step up?

The Minnesota Lynx finished the regular season on top of the Western Conference with a 30-10 record, including 14-6 on the road. In the opening playoff round, they swept the swept the Phoenix Mercury. The Lynx are second in the league allowing 76.6 points per game and are the best three-point shooting team in the league making 38.1% of their attempts. Napheesa Collier leads the team averaging 33 points and 9.7 rebounds per game in the postseason.

The Sun are in a promising situation

The Connecticut Sun finished the regular season second in the Eastern Conference with a 28-12 record, including 14-6 at home. In th opening playoff round they swept the Indiana Fever. The Sun are the team who takes and makes the most free throws per game but has the second-lowest percentage. They are ranked eighth in the league scoring 80.4 points per game. Marina Mabrey leads the team with 21.4 points per game this playoffs.

Betting Trends

The Sun are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall, 16-6 SU in their last 22 home games, 13-4 SU in their last 17 games against Minnesota and 6-3 SU in their last 9 home games against the Lynx. They are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against Minnesota. Connecticut has played under the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games overall and 4 of their last 6 home games while they have gone over in 4 of their last 6 games against Minnesota. The Lynx are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games overall and 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. They are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. Minnesota has played over the total point line in 6 of their last 9 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Connecticut Sun started the series well, stealing the opening game of the series on the road, but the Minnesota Lynx responded with a 77-70 win in Game 2 to tie things up. Still, the Sun are in a much better situation since the series now moves to Montville. Minnesota won 78-76 when they visited the Sun in the regular season this year, and we expect another close game. The Sun are pretty solid at home, winning 14 of 20 games this season, but the Lynx have the same record on the road. This game can easily go either way, so given the stakes, we go with under 151.5 total points.