Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun – Breakdown and Prediction

May 23, 2024

Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun: A matchup between two undefeated teams

The Minnesota Lynx will have a tough task going to Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville to face the Connecticut Sun on Thursday.

The Lynx are back in action after a week

The Minnesota Lynx defeated the Seattle Storm in the first two games of the season and are on top of the Western Conference at the moment. They were very dominant in the opening game of the season, beating the Storm 83-70 on the road, and then needed two overtimes for a 102-93 win at home. The Lynx were the best offensive team at the beginning of the season, averaging 92.5 points per game, and are ranked third in the WNBA, shooting 44.8% from the field. Napheesa Collier is the leading scorer for Minnesota, averaging 24.5 points per game, followed by Alanna Smith with 19.

The Sun have the best record in the league

The Connecticut Sun are on top of the Eastern Conference with the best record in the league after winning the first three games of the season. They started with a 92-71 win over the Indiana Fever at home and then defeated the Washington Mystics 84-77. In their first road game of the season, the Sun were better than the Fever again, this time winning 88-84. The Sun are second in the league, allowing 77.3 points per game, and are ranked fourth, scoring 88 points per game. DeWanna Bonner leads the Sun with 21.3 points per game, followed by DiJonai Carrington with 17.

Betting Trends

The Lynx are 5-1 ATS when playing after three or more days of rest but struggle against Eastern Conference teams with a 1-4 ATS record. They have played under the total point line in the last four games on the road but have gone over it in 14 of their last 17 games after covering the spread and in 20 of the last 28 games following a win. They have also gone over in 9 of the last 11 games played on Thursday. The Sun are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 games playing after two days of rest and 16-5 ATS in the last 21 games played on Thursday. They have played over the total point line in 5 of the last 6 games, in the last 4 games following a two-day rest, 8 of the last 10 games played on Thursday and 16 of the last 23 home games.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams are undefeated so far in the season. The Lynx are traveling to Connecticut a week after they played their last game, which may be too long of a break this early in the season. The Sun have won 8 of the last 10 games against the Lynx and are 6.5-point favorites in this one. The last four wins against the Lynx came with double-digits, and they will be dominant enough to cover the -6.5-point spread tonight.