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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Breakdown and Prediction

Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images/Sipa USA

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates: The AL Central rivals are closing their series today

The Milwaukee Brewers are visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight at PNC Park.

 

The Brewers have clinched the division

The Milwaukee Brewers are on top of the NL Central with a 90-68 record, including 45-35 on the road. They have lost 4 of the last 6 games but that doesn’t change their playoff seed. The Brewers have a 3.68 ERA, a .235 batting average, a .305 on-base percentage, and 1.24 walks plus hits per inning pitched. William Contreras leads the team with 166 hits, and 97 runs while Willy Adames is on top with 32 home runs.

 

The Pirates are locked at the bottom of the NL Central

The Pittsburgh Pirates are at the bottom of the NL Central with a 74-84 record including 39-41 at home. They have lost 3 of the last 5 games but won last night against the Brewers. The Pirates have a 4.19 ERA, a .247 batting average, a .320 on-base percentage, and 1.31 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryan Reynolds leads the team with 167 hits, 70 runs, and 22 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Pirates are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games overall, 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the NL, and 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the NL Central. Pittsburgh has played under the total run line in 8 of their last 11 games overall and 4 of their last 6 home games, while they have gone over in 6 of their last 9 games against Milwaukee and in 13 of their last 19 home games against them. The Brewers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games overall, 10-5 SU in their last 15 games on the road, and 5-1 SU in their last 6 games as favorites. Milwaukee has played under the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games played on Thursday.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Pittsburgh Pirates will say goodbye to the home fans today as they are finishing another disappointing season. They won 2-1 last night against the leading team in the division and will try to add another one with Mitch Keller on the mound. He is 11-11 for the season with a 4.21 ERA, 160 K, 173 IP, and 1.29 WHIP. The Brewers, who are locked in at the top of the division, will go with Aaron Civale, who is 7-9 for the season with a 4.53 ERA, 144 K, 155 IP, and 1.33 WHIP. The hitters were pretty cold last night, so we expect things to heat up today, so we go with over 8 runs in total.

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