Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins – Breakdown and Prediction

July 20, 2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins: Both teams have a promising season

The Milwaukee Brewers are visiting the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Saturday.

The Brewers needed the All-Star break

The Milwaukee Brewers are on top of the NL Central with a 55-42 record, including 26-25 on the road. After losing three straight games, the Brewers won 9-3 against the Washington Nationals in the last game before the All-Star break. The Brewers have a 3.81 ERA, a .237 batting average, a .309 on-base percentage, and 1.25 walks plus hits per inning pitched. William Contreras is the best player on the team with 108 hits, 65 runs, and 11 home runs so far in the season.

The Twins are targeting the top of the division

The Minnesota Twins are second in the AL Central with a 54-42 record and are 27-18 at home. The Twins are coming off a 2-1 series loss to the San Francisco Giants. Minnesota has a 4.11 ERA, a .232 batting average, a .294 on-base percentage, and 1.18 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Willi Castro leads the Twins with 90 hits and 54 runs so far in the season while Ryan Jeffers is on top with 14 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Twins are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games overall, 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played on Saturday and 4-1 SU in their last five home games played on Saturday. Minnesota has played under the total run line in 4 of their last 5 games overall, in 10 of their last 13 home games against Milwaukee while they have gone over in 6 of their last 8 games against Milwaukee and in 6 of their last 7 home games. The Brewers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games overall, 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the AL and 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against teams from the AL Central. Milwaukee has played over the total run line in 5 of their last 7 games overall and under in 4 of their last 6 games on the road.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Milwaukee Brewers were on top of the NL Central for the entire season but lost seven of the last 10 games before the All-Star break. The Twins started slower and are now only 4.5 games behind the Cleveland Guardians, who lead the AL Central. Both teams could use the All-Star break to regroup and start strong in the second part of the season. Milwaukee will go with Freddy Peralta, who is 6-5 for the season with a 4.11 ERA, 130 K, 103 IP, and 1.19 WHIP. On the other side, the Twins will have Pablo Lopez on the mound, who is 8-7 for the season with a 5.11 ERA, 121 K, 104 IP, and 1.18 WHIP. The total run line is set at 7.5 for this game, and these two have combined for at least 10 runs in three of their last four games, so we go with over 7.5 total runs.