Michigan Wolverines vs Indiana Hoosiers – Breakdown and Prediction

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Michigan Wolverines vs Indiana Hoosiers: Both teams are coming off losses

The Indiana Hoosiers are hosting the Michigan Wolverines at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, IN on Saturday.

 

Is it too late for the Wolverines?

The Michigan Wolverines are ninth in the Big Ten Conference with a 5-4 record, including 3-3 in conference play. They have lost 3 of the last 4 games and are coming off a 38-17 loss to the Oregon Ducks. Davis Warren was 12 of 21 for 165 yards with a career-high two touchdowns. Michigan is ranked 57th in the nation allowing 23.3 points per game and are ranked 47th allowing 345.1 yards per game.

 

The Hoosiers have a perfect record

The Indiana Hoosiers are on top of the Big Ten Conference with a 9-0 record, including 6-0 in conference play. They are coming off a 47-10 win over the Michigan State Spartans. Kurtis Rourke threw for 263 yards and four touchdowns on 19 of 29 passing. The Hoosiers are second in the nation scoring 46.6 points per game and are ranked eighth with 476.2 yards per game.

 

Betting Trends

The Hoosiers are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games overall, 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games, 1-10 SU in their last 11 home games against Michigan, and 3-10 SU in their last 13 games played in November. They are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams from the Big Ten Conference. Indiana has played over the total point line in 7 of their last 8 games overall, 6 of their last 7 games against teams from the East Division, and 8 of their last 12 games played in Week 11, while has played under the total point line in 4 of their last 6 games against Michigan. The Wolverines are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games overall, 19-1 SU in their last 20 games against Indiana, and 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the East Division. Michigan has played over the total point line in 5 of their last 6 games overall, 12 of their last 15 games against teams from the Big Ten Conference, and 4 of their last 5 games played in November.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

When Curt Cignetti took over the Indiana Hoosiers this summer, he couldn’t even dream of a better start than this one. The Hoosiers are perfect after nine games and have the best start in school history. They will host the Michigan Wolverines in front of a sellout crowd in Bloomington. The Wolverines are in deep trouble as they have lost 3 of the last 4 games and have no room for another mistake. There is no doubt that Indiana is a major favorite going into this one, but let’s just wait for a second. The Wolverines have won 26 of the last 27 games against Indiana, with the only loss coming in 2020 during the pandemic. The last time these two met, Michigan won 52-7, and their last four wins have come with at least a 22-point margin. So no matter how good Indiana is at the moment, Michigan will have a shot in this game, so we go with the Wolverines to cover the +14.5-point spread.