Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – Breakdown and Prediction

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies: Can the Phillies bounce back?

The Philadelphia Phillies are looking to end their losing streak when they host the Miami Marlins today at Citizens Bank Park.

 

The Marlins are near the bottom of the NL

The Miami Marlins are at the bottom of the NL East with a 44-75 record, including 20-36 on the road. After losing three consecutive games, the Marlins won 7-6 against the San Diego Padres in the last one. Miami has a 4.62 ERA, a .253 batting average, a .398 on-base percentage, and 1.76 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryan De La Cruz is the best player on the team, with 104 hits, 44 runs, and 18 home runs for the season.

 

The Phillies have lost the last three games

The Philadelphia Phillies are on top of the NL East with the best record in the MLB, 69-49, including 38-21 at home. The Phillies have lost the last three games and are coming off a 12-5 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Phillies have a 3.73 ERA, a .235 batting average, a .299 on-base percentage, and 1.20 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Alec Bohm leads the team with 134 hits, Kyle Schwarber is on top with 81 runs, and 27 home runs.

 

Betting Trends

The Phillies are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games overall, 1-6 SU in their last 7 home games and 4-2 SU in their last 6 home games against Miami. Philadelphia has played over the total run line in 9 of their last 13 games overall, 5 of their last 7 games against Miami and have stayed under in 6 of their last 9 games against teams from the NL East and in 9 of their last 12 games played on Tuesday. The Marlins are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games overall, 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against the Phillies and 6-12 SU in their last 18 games played in August. Miami has played over the total run line in 6 of their last 7 games overall and in 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the NL and has played under in 4 of their last 5 game son the road.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

The Philadelphia Phillies were the best team in the league most of the season, and after losing the last three games, they need to bounce back before things get even more complicated. The Phillies had a day off after coming back from Arizona and seem ready to roll against their division rival. The Phillies will start Taijuan Walker, who is 3-3 for the season with a 5.60 ERA, 43 K, 53 IP, and 1.49 WHIP. The Marlins will try to respond with rookie Valente Bellozo, who is 1-1 for the season with a 3.05 ERA, 19 K, 20.2 IP, and 1.02 WHIP. The Phillies are a way better team, and they really need this one, so we go with the Phillies winning by covering the -1.5-run spread.

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