Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – Breakdown and Prediction

June 27, 2024

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies: An NL East matchup

The Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies are starting a four-game series today at Citizens Bank Park.

The Marlins have split the last ten games

The Miami Marlins are at the bottom of the NL East with a 28-52 record, including 12-25 on the road. They have lost 3 of the last 5 games and are coming off a 2-1 series loss to the Kansas City Royals. Miami has a 4.62 ERA, a .251 batting average, a .327 on-base percentage, and 1.35 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryan De La Cruz is the best player on the team, with 76 hits, 35 runs, and 14 homeruns for the season.

The Phillies are on top of the league

The Philadelphia Phillies are on top of the NL East with the best record in the MLB, 53-27, including 31-12 at home. They have won 4 of the last 5 games and are coming off a 2-1 series win over the Detroit Tigers. The Phillies have a 3.07 ERA, a .222 batting average, a .287 on-base percentage, and 1.12 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Alec Bohm leads the team with 92 hits, and Bryce Harper is on top with 52 runs and 20 home runs.

Betting Trends

The Phillies are 4-1 SU in their last five games overall, 11-4 SU in their last 15 games against teams from the NL and 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against teams from the NL East. Philadelphia has played under the total run line in 6 of their last 8 games overall, 9 of their last 11 games at home and 10 of their last 15 games against Miami. The Marlins are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games overall, 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against teams from the NL and 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the NL East Division.

Prediction and Conclusion

The Phillies are having a fantastic season being on top of the MLB, and today they will face the team from the bottom of their division. The Marlins are struggling from the very start of the season, and things do not look promising for them at all. The Marlins will try to stun the Phillies tonight going with Trevor Rogers, who is only 1-8 for the season with a 4.90 ERA, 60 K, 75.1 IP, and 1.55 WHIP. The Phillies will start with one of their best pitchers, Zack Wheeler, who is 9-4 for the season with a 2.73 ERA, 107 K, 99 IP, and 0.96 WHIP. Given all the facts and stats, the Phillies are huge favorites in this game and will cruise to the win, covering the -1.5-run spread.