Miami Marlins vs New York Mets – Breakdown and Prediction

June 11, 2024

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Both teams are coming off a different week

The New York Mets are hosting the Miami Marlins at Citi field on Tuesday to start the three-game series.

The Marlins are struggling lately

The Miami Marlins are at the bottom of the NL East with a 22-43 record. They have lost 6 of the last 7 games and are coming off a 6-3 loss to the Cleveland Guardians. Miami has a 4.70 ERA, a .251 batting average, a .332 on-base percentage, and 1.38 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Bryan De La Cruz is the best player on the team, with 63 hits, 30 runs, and 11 homeruns for the season.

The Mets are coming off a solid week

The New York Mets are fourth in the NL East with a 28-36 record. They have won 4 of the last 5 games and are coming off a 6-5 win over the Philadelphia Phillies in London. The Mets have a 4.26 ERA, a .234 batting average, a .325 on-base percentage, and 1.34 walks plus hits per inning pitched. Pete Alonso is the best player on the team with 59 hits, 37 runs, and 14 homeruns.

Betting Trends

The Mets are 4-1 SU in the last 5 games, 3-10 SU in the last 13 home games, and 6-3 SU in the last 9 games against teams from the NL. The Mets have played over the total run line in 5 of the last 6 games against Miami, 5 of their last 7 home games against the Marlins, and 7 of the last 10 games against teams from the NL. Miami is 1-6 SU in the last 7 games overall, 3-11 SU in the last 14 games against teams from the NL, and 1-7 SU in the last 8 games played in June.

Prediction and Conclusion

The New York Mets had a slow start to the season, but things look way better after a successful week. They are coming into this game after a three-day rest after they played a pair of games in London. They will have Tylor Megill on the mound, who is 1-2 for the season with a 3.00 ERA, 24 K, 21 IP, and 1.24 WHIP. The Marlins are one of the worst teams in the league and will start this series with Jesus Luzardo on the mound, who is 2-5 for the season with a 5.30 ERA, 52 K, 56 IP, and 1.25 WHIP. The Marlins will be the team under pressure in this one and will convert that into an important win over the Mets to open the series.