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Matteo Berrettini vs Denis Shapovalov – Breakdown and Prediction

June 13, 2024

Matteo Berrettini vs Denis Shapovalov: ATP Stuttgart – second round

The two-time ATP Stuttgart champion Matteo Berrettini will take on Denis Shapovalov in the second round of this year’s tournament.

Matteo Berrettini Profile

The former world No. 6 Matteo Berrettini is currently 95th in the rankings. The Italians are 10-3 for the season and 1-0 on grass.

Berrettini is coming off a 7-6, 5-7, 7-5 win over Roman Safiullin in the first round. This is only the fourth tournament for Berrettini this season, and he reached the final in two of them. In Phoenix, he lost to Nuno Borgues, and in Marrakech, he lost to Roberto Carballes Baena.

This is the fourth time for Berrettini to play in Stuttgart, and he won the title there in 2019 and 2022.

Denis Shapovalov Profile

Denis Shapovalov is 117th in the ATP rankings, and his career high was No. 10 in the world. The Canadian is 12-15 for the season and 1-1 on grass.

Shapovalov is coming off a 7-6, 7-5 win over Matteo Martineau in the first round of the tournament. Last week, he lost the opener at the Surbiton Challenger to Aleksandar Vukic.

Shapovalov’s best result this season was the third round at the French Open, where he lost to Hubert Hurkacz. He reached the same stage in Miami and Madrid.

This is his sixth appearance in Stuttgart, and his best result was the quarterfinal in 2021.

Head-to-Head – Shapovalov leads 2-0

Shapovalov vs Berrettini 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 (2019 Davis Cup)
Shapovalov vs Berrettini 7-6, 4-6, 6-0 (2018 ATP Saint Petersburg, round of 16)

Prediction and Conclusion

Five years after their last match, Matteo Berrettini and Denis Shapovalov will face each other in the second round of the ATP Stuttgart. Both players are far from their best form, and they hope that this season they will get back on the right track. Both of them are very confident playing on grass since Shapovalov has reached the semifinals at Wimbledon, while Berrettini has gone even further and made it to the final. Shapovalov won both of the previous matches against the Italian, but looking at the scores, the last four sets between the two have gone to a tiebreak. Given that and the way both players serve on grass, we are going with over 0.5 tiebreaks in the match.