LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators – Breakdown and Prediction

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LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators: Both teams are looking to save the season

The Florida Gators are hosting the LSU Tigers at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL on Saturday.

 

Can the Tigers bounce back?

The LSU Tigers are 8th in the SEC with a 6-3 record, including 3-2 in conference play. They have lost the last two games and are coming off a 42-13 loss to the Alabama Crimson Tide. Garrett Nussmeier was 27 of 42 for a total of 239 yards but the Tigers stood no chance in that game. They are 32nd in the nation averaging 436.3 yards per game and are ranked 50th scoring 30.6 points per game.

 

Is it too late for the Gators?

The Florida Gators are 12th in the SEC with a 4-5 record, including 2-4 in conference play. They have lost 3 of the last 4 games and are coming off a 49-17 loss to the Texas Longhorns. Aidan Warner was 12 of 25 for a total of 132 yards. The Gators are 64th in the league scoring 28.1 points per game and 74th averaging 383.3 yards per game.

 

Betting Trends

The Gators are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games overall, 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against teams from the West Division, and 0-8 SU in their last 8 games played in November. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on Saturday. Florida has played over the total point line in 13 of their last 17 games overall, their last 6 games against the Tigers, 4 of their last 5 games against LSU, and 12 of their last 13 games against teams from the Southeastern Conference. The Tigers are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games overall, 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Florida, 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the Southeastern Conference and 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against teams from the East Division. They are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Gators, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites. LSU has played over the total point line in 7 of their last 8 games on the road and under in 5 of their last 6 games overall.

 

Prediction and Conclusion

Both teams are struggling lately, and the Tigers are coming off back-to-back losses after winning the previous six games in a row. Losing to Alabama at home was the worst day of the season for the Tigers, and they will look to bounce back when visiting Florida today. The Gators are coming off an even worse loss as they are 37-0 down at halftime to the Longhorns. The Tigers have won the last five games against the Gators, with the last two coming in double digits. There is no doubt that LSU is on another level compared to Florida, and they will prove that by covering the -3-point spread.

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